I started the first phase of my mid-term trading strategy today with a hedge. I shorted GBP/JPY this hour (8:41 am EST) with a stop set at the 160.50 area (chart above). The pair retraced back up exactly 61.8% from it's most recent decline to the 155.95 level (from the 8/7/09 high of 163.05), and then followed by a very convincing hourly down bar this past hour.
Risk: 150 pips
Reward: 100-250 pips
This is not my preferred direction. I'd much rather own anything against the Yen (buy EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/JPY, etc). However, like I said above, this is only the first phase of my trading plan, and I am waiting very anxiously in the wings to go long EUR/JPY as soon as I see an appropriate entry point. I will try to post here as soon as I make my move.
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