Taking Profit

The EUR/CHF trade seems to be moving along well. right now it's touching the 200 day EMA off the daily chart, which should act as some sort of resistence. This is a great place to take a little profit and take a little risk off the table.

I'm still long the pair with a few remaining lots and will, or course, continue to keep a close eye on it. I'm particularly watching the retracement to the 1.5179 level (61.8% Fib Retracement). If it falls below that, i'll still be profitable and will look for another opportunity to get long. Until then, I'm keeping a few lots and hoping for another rally.

EUR/CHF - Pick Up the Pieces

After missing out on the USD/JPY rally yesterday, as it never retraced enough for me to take on the risk, I'm going to pick up the pieces and move on... EUR/CHF is not the most popular pair in the forex world to trade, but it seems to be falling into a nice setup. The pair rallied over 100 pips in a 24 hour period, which not only isn't unusual but pales in comparison to the 300-plus pip rally the EUR/JPY enjoyed in the same period. Around 2:00am EST, EUR/CHF nose-dived 40 pips and proceded to glide down to the 1.5150 level, which is about a 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement from yesterday's rally and where both the 100 and 200 day EMAs lie.

I labeled the 1.5100 level as the first major support level, seen from the daily chart.

For further confirmation, the weekly chart shows a bullish flag that's been forming since March 2009. Usually, these flag formations resolve in the direction of the previous move, which is upward in this case.
Risk: ~30-70 pips
Reward: ~ 50-140 pips